September 2026: Turning Negativity Into Opportunity

Positioning Update •   August 26, 2026

Commentary

Convertibles (CWB) provide exposure to technology and electricity, two sectors that have benefited significantly from the AI infrastructure buildout. Equity markets have rebounded, but pessimism is dominant right now as investors raise concerns about valuations and funding for AI-related companies.

The AI-buildout, specifically, the amount of issuance relative to projected returns from that spending, requires careful observation for a tipping point. Right now, the committee sees constant negativity as a strong signal we are not at that tipping point yet.

The committee decided to maintain a neutral stance regarding duration and curve positioning relative to the benchmark. Securitized allocation also remains neutral relative to the benchmark, while IG credit remains 90% relative. This makes the index’s main differentiator the 5% conviction position in convertible securities.

The details below reflect index positioning relative to the baseline benchmark effective September 1, 2026.

Relative Positioning

Duration
Neutral
Yield Curve
Neutral
Corporate Credit
Underweight

90% relative underweight

Securitized
Neutral
Conviction
Overweight

5% allocation to convertibles

Allocation

NameMarket Value (%)
iShares MBS ETF25.83
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF15.71
Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF13.05
Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF9.07
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF7.75
Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF7.40
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF6.40
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF4.99
SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF5.00
iShares Agency Bond ETF2.25
iShares BBB Rated Corporate Bond ETF2.00
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF0.55